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Pakistan’s political Sunday? What lies ahead for PTI & PMLN?

Moeed Pirzada |

With Imran Khan of PTI announcing a ‘Campaign against Corruption’ from Fatima Jinnah Park in Islamabad; Jammat-e-Islami organizing a ‘Dharna’ (Sit Down Protest) against Corruption in Lahore, with Mustafa Kamal’s, Pak Sarzamin Party (PSP) organizing its first mass congregation in Bagh e Jinnah in Karachi, a feeling of ‘something cooking, something in the air’ definitely hits you. Add to this the fact that ‘an under sieged Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’ facing the ‘God sent Curse’ of Panama Files has already announced a ‘Mass Contact Campaign’ (Awami Rabta Moham) from next week and you have an unmistakable evidence of ‘something happening’. But what that something is? And what it may become is the real question here.

Though the mythical 300,000 never materialized, PTI, on its 20th ‘Foundation Day’ was able to demonstrate large crowd mobilization. While importing young men from KPK, in hired transport, by a sitting PTI government — many of whom lost their minds and heads on finding themselves standing so close to beautiful emancipated Islamabad girls; something which PTI needs to address — should be less impressive, the significant  presence of people from Lahore and other parts of Punjab and very enthusiastic participation of men and women, often in the form of families, from Islamabad was a sign of party’s’ growing clout, urban middle class penetration and its ability to sustain the spirit of its young followers and professional classes despite repeated set backs at the hands of wily PMLN – PM Nawaz Sharif’s party, Pakistan’s version of GOP, well entrenched in Punjabi bureaucracy, military, media and judiciary.

Read more: Titanic of Pakistani Politics: PTI & PMLN; Upper Deck & Lower Deck?

While PTI’s crowd pull was definitely impressive, its event organization was poor. While Imran Khan was still speaking, and crowds from the McDonald end of Jinnah Ave were walking slowly, pushing and struggling to enter the park, hundreds of people were also seen emitting out of the single entry/exit on Jinnah Avenue. They told me that: there was insufficient space inside the park, it was uncomfortable to withstand repeated waves of push and pull, sound system was poor, Imran’s speech started very late and Khan Sb is repeating ‘old things’ they had heard before. Many complained that there should have been video walls/screens and speakers on the Jinnah Avenue itself. Why PTI did not do that? Perhaps it was not permitted. But there was a feeling that Imran’s speech was not ‘hard hitting’.

Apparently in Pakistan, the idea is that ‘popular mandate’ washes all your sins. This was carefully planted into public imagination through print and electronic media, by a combination of self-serving politicians, writers, and media persons in the run up to ‘NRO’.

Though PMLN leaders, I later joined in Dunya News discussion, were blasting Imran for clandestinely using his ‘Party’s Foundation Day’ for attacking PM Nawaz, (what would an opposition leader do?) most PTI supporters wanted him to hit hard at Nawaz, the way he did in his press conference one day earlier, to come up with a game plan or perhaps demand Prime Minister’s resignation on Panama Leaks. They were disappointed for Imran – quite unlike his usual self – was cautious; he announced a ‘campaign against Corruption’ from Sindh, on 26th and a rally in Lahore on 1st, but regarding Nawaz, he only thundered: ‘Mian Sahib, apko jana paray ka’ (Mian Sahib, you will have to go). Perhaps he now realizes  that to push against Nawaz, he needs to develop greater momentum.

Read more: PTI demanded PM to resign

Or else, Imran is probably only reacting to the stage set by Nawaz Sharif – who has already announced his ‘Public Contact Campaign’. But Nawaz Sharif’s objective are clear. He desperately wants to shift the focus away from allegations of corruption that emanate from ‘Panama Files’. Public rallies will also demonstrate his ‘mass support’ to judiciary, bureaucracy military and to the diplomatic community. It will be a sort of ‘message’ to them all. If despite this maneuvering, ‘pliable commission’ still became difficult, if the pressure for ‘full & Complete disclosure’ kept mounting then these rallies may turn into a ‘pre-election campaign of sorts’ for a PMLN, that till the Panama Files was pretty confident of beating all its opponents in an electoral contest in Punjab; a province it rules – something which Law Minister, Zahid Hamid, argued in the cabinet meeting three days ago, prompting a laughter from all, except PM Nawaz. Public rallies, at national exchequer’s expense, by a chief executive, who appears to be dodging an investigation into allegations of corruption, is definitely a pugnacious idea, a kind of ‘Wag the Dog’ but everything is possible in Pakistan.

However, it raises a very interesting question: Is ‘Electoral Success’ a reprieve for criminal offense? Can public through vote forgive crimes of men in leadership positions? Is law only an ‘expression of popular will’? Can people of a village get together and forgive a ‘popular murderer’ through show of hands? Apparently in Pakistan, the idea is that ‘popular mandate’ washes all your sins. This was carefully planted into public imagination through print and electronic media, by a combination of self-serving politicians, writers, and media persons in the run up to ‘NRO’. Objective was to create space for acceptance of ‘National Reconciliation Order’ (NRO) which Benazir Bhutto needed to reenter Pakistani politics, and which Musharraf wanted to offer her in return for her support to stay on as president till 2013. History, like horror movies, is often cruel: She got murdered and her successors kicked out Musharraf.

But lets come back. Those self-serving crooks – disguised as ‘intellectuals’ mostly aligned then with PPP, who wanted to bail out BB and not Nawaz- who in 2005-7, built the case for disgusting ‘NRO’ in front of the Americans, argued that cases against politicians – both Benazir and Nawaz – were made purely on political grounds, politicians have suffered in jail (like Asif Ali Zardari) but nothing has been proved against them, and since they could not be convicted therefore they were innocent victims of ‘witch hunt against the politicians’. The term ‘witch hunt of politicians’ which you keep on hearing from all sides now and again – like by Ishaq Dar in Kamran Khan Show – was coined in that era.

Ironically these cases –like the famous Hudaibaya Paper Mill and the Swiss Cases – inherited by Musharraf, were mostly made by PPP and PMLN against each other. The allegations which we now find in ‘Panama Files’ against Sharif family originally surfaced in the FIA Report of 1993-96 which was the investigative work of PPP’s Rehman Malik – who now also finds his name in the Panama Files. How interesting?

While PTI’s crowd pull was definitely impressive, its event organization was poor. While Imran Khan was still speaking, and crowds from the McDonald end of Jinnah Ave were walking slowly, pushing and struggling to enter the park, hundreds of people were also seen emitting out of the single entry/exit on Jinnah Avenue.

But given the developments since then, all published and revealed by media, we now know for sure ‘Swiss Cases’ against Benazir and Zardari were true and genuine. If convictions were not obtained, it was not because of ‘political witch hunt of the innocent’ but because of the incompetence and corruption of Pakistan’s Criminal Justice System that was totally penetrated, compromised and bought over at all levels by the supposedly ‘innocent victims’ – who could completely manage it. Also, Sharifs struck a deal with Musharraf, courtesy Clinton and Saudis, in 2000, which then stopped all prosecution against them; and Musharraf, whose principal venom was against Nawaz, for his own selfish reasons, wanted to ‘go slow’ on Benazir, so that he can bring her into power sharing – to prolong his rule. This thinking, and mutual needs, lead to the infamous NRO – midwifed by the British & Americans.

Bottom line is that the ‘flawed and corrupt paradigms’ established by self-serving ‘hyenas’ who masqueraded as ‘intellectuals’ in the run up to a ‘Faustian Bargain’ between Musharraf and Benazir Bhutto for creating “NRO” may again be used now to continue the cycle of pain and misery. Is Pakistani state and people then the mythical ‘Prometheus’ being punished by God Zeus?

Question is: Will a new generation of Pakistanis, a decade later, will allow itself to be fooled again by the self-serving paradigms of ‘corrupt writers’ or will it cleanse itself like a smart CPU that routinely trashes the ‘corrupted files’ from its cache?

Read more: Imran Khan’s PTI ends its boycott of Parliament, but why?

So lets sum up Pakistan’s Political Sunday. With Imran initiating his ‘Anti-Corruption Campaign’ from Sindh, with Jammat offering dharnas in Lahore, with PM Nawaz kick starting his ‘public contact campaign’ from KPK and with PPP’s Maula Bux Chandio shouting on Imran’s ‘Sindh yatra’ its clear that fault lines and alliances of Pakistani politics are being finally defined. PTI has apparently decided, without declaration, that PPP will leave it sooner or later; so let’s face today what confronts you tomorrow. Nawaz and Zardari will be natural allies, like they were since 2007.

It’s only that developing circumstances won’t allow them, anymore, to pose as ‘enemies’ and ‘opponents’. Next few weeks and months are thus momentous in shaping the coming decade of Pakistani politics. Though everyone tells me that in a country as illiterate, as elite controlled and as corrupt, as Pakistan, history will only repeat itself. Prometheus will remain chained to the rock, with Zeus’s  ‘mythical eagle’ eating away his liver. I am not that sure. I think you can fool all the people some of the time, some people all the time but you cannot fool all the people all the time. Something that worked out in 2006-7, wont work in 2016-17. Even then Benazir got murdered and Musharraf was kicked out by her successors.

 

Moeed Pirzada is prominent TV Anchor & commentator; he studied international relations at Columbia Univ, New York and law at London School of Economics. Twitter: MoeedNj. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Global Village Space’s editorial policy. This piece was first published in Moeed Pirzada’s official page. It has been reproduced with permission.

Tonight with Moeed Pirzada: Judicial Commission Hasan Nisar Perspective !!!

Mr.Hassan Nisar, pertinent analyst and political commentator, expressed his views on the Judicial commission proposed by the Prime Minister. Mr.Nisar said that the government has pulled this stunt to eye wash the general public. Mr.Nisar was of the opinion that the Prime Minister should immediately step down and face the charges. Mr. Nisar also said that he had been informed that the Prime Minister has planned a public interaction campaign in the near future, which could be termed as an election campaign. Mr.Nisar expressed his severe displeasure on the matter and termed it a complete sham

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: Judicial Commission on Panama Leaks !!!

Ansar Abbasi, prominent analyst and veteran journalist expressed his views on the Supreme Court investigative commission proposed by the Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in his address to the nation, amidst opposition pressure.
Mr. Ansari, commenting on the terms of reference, said that the government has crafted this to buy time. He was also of the opinion that this commission would not be able to probe the matter any time soon. Mr.Ansari said that the People’s party chairperson Mr . Asif Ali Zardari doesn’t wish for this commission to proceed with the probe.
The analyst said that it is highly unlikely that the Supreme Court would take up this case. In the case that it does, as suggested by prominent minds, the Court should probe the Prime Minister and recent premiers, Mr. Zardari and Gen . Musharraf first, then proceed to other implicated people, so that the matter is put to rest. There are some serious issues for the government in this whole matter, and it is not the absolute black and white scenario it is depicted as.
Mr.Abbasi offered his suggestion that the ruling party should replace the Prime Minister on an urgent basis, to bring immediate calm to the spectrum. In the light of the threats posed to Pakistan, this matter should be settled as soon as possible.
Mr. Abbasi also said that the grey areas for the government are most prominently, the London apartments, which do not corroborate with the implicated time and their admitted purchase year. He said that the Prime Minister is acting out under political pressure.

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: Panama Leaks & Government Strategies !!!

Dr Moeed Pirzada discusses proposed terms of references for Judicial Inquiry of Panama leaks announced by PM Nawaz Sharif on 22nd April to investigate offshore accounts of his children Hassan and Hussain Nawaz. Dr Pirzada discusses the reaction of political parties on the proposed Terms of References. Everyone was of the view that long time probably years will be required to investigate all the corruption allegations as mentioned in the letter being sent to Supreme court.

Also there was visible difference of opinion in PPP leaders as Chairman Bilawal Bhutto tweeted that PM should resign or give his defense in the parliament but PPP opposition leader khursheed shah welcomed step of Government and asked to include international forensic audit firm in the investigation commission.

Panama Papers: Why ‘Commission’ should be rejected?

Panama Cat is out of the bag! PM Nawaz gave his ‘Commission of Enquiry’ that will or can investigate everyone ‘rich’ in Pakistan except himself. This is called a ‘potential sixer’. Will this be caught at the boundary or will cross over into the pavilion will depend upon how his opposition and media reacts.

Whatever happened in Pakistan since the appearance of ‘Panama Paper’s is less about the ‘Panama Papers’ and more about the nature of Pakistani politics and its fault lines, Pakistani society, its power dynamics and the levels of ignorance and illiteracy in which several communities of Pakistanis live or suffer. For any student of international politics and sociology the ‘mad house’ which Pakistani politics has thrown up in the last three weeks should be a ‘fertile petri-dish’ to study the politics of a people; in this case: Pakistanis.

With PM Nawaz Sharif’s speech, on 22nd April, his third address to the nation, since 5th April, the whole issue of ‘Panama Files’ has become so murky, so different, so ‘Pakistanized’ – like Harry Potter turned into Maula Jut – that its important to first define what the original issue was and what questions it raised.

Panama Files and its disclosures – at-least in the context of Pakistan – was never really about Off-shore accounts. Businessmen, companies, banks, corporations and even ordinary citizens world over have always maintained ‘Offshore’ accounts for various reasons. It is not about taxes either. Businessmen are in the business of making money and have every right of reducing their tax liability and as long as ‘national’ or ‘international laws’ permit them ‘safe heavens’ to do that, they are within their right to do so – as long as they can prove the origin of funds, source of earnings and that taxes were initially paid, if due.

The whole talk, endless gibberish, of 200 plus Pakistani businessmen, bankers, corporate leaders, media tycoons or rich people keeping ‘off-shore accounts’ was meaningless. It only testifies to the level of ignorance and maliciousness in Pakistani media and politics that this charge has been repeated again and again – and even ‘ministers’ in responsible positions have talked off the ‘accountability of all’ as if suddenly we have turned against ‘capitalism’ or are about to start a war between ‘good and evil’ a kind of Pakistani sequel of the ‘Lord of Rings’. Perhaps the ‘objective’ was to spread the debate so afar as to make it ‘irrelevant’ and open the net so wide that it cannot capture any one.

Amongst the 200 plus names, that initially surfaced in first week of April, the only names that raise alarm bells are about 14-15 politically exposed persons or persons intimately connected with the top political families – like JP (Javaid Pasha) known to be a London based frontman for Mr. Zardari – and two judges of Lahore High Court. Judges were perhaps even more important, but to this day neither media, nor political parties have really raised this issue. And surprisingly ‘Supreme Court of Pakistan’ or ‘Bar Associations’ have also not demanded an explanation from these two ‘odd names’ in a list, where they should never have been. Their appearance there has raised serious questions and have tarnished the image of whole judiciary – but neither they have felt nor their ‘professional bodies’ have demanded an explanation.

Why politically exposed persons, Judges and top civil servants are important? Because those in the positions of leadership or decision  making in a country – be it Prime Minister, Chief Minister or Ministers or those who adjudicate matters of conflict between warring parties like the judges or those who implement policy decisions like the top civil servants – represent a ‘Clear and Present Conflict of Interest’. They take or influence major decisions of economic policy, structural development, tax imposition and concessions, of foreign investments, mega projects like CPEC, motorways, metros, train-lines and privatizations like PIA or Steel Mills etc. Their decisions can make or break the fortunes of businessmen and corporations. And within this endless, intricate and interdependent process of decision making they get countless opportunities of enriching themselves and their families and their cronies and their political supporters. And that is why the rate of accumulation of their assets, their financial transactions, their accounts and their lifestyles need a ‘microscopic  scrutiny’.

And that is why British PM, David Cameron immediately published all his personal and inherited assets, his accounts, his transactions, rental income he and his wife, Samantha, get. And that is why the American President is transparent to the last dollar. In a $ 16 trillion economy, US President’s accumulated total worth is only around $8-9 million and David Cameron, twice elected British PM is only worth £ 3 million or so. And all that can be accounted for; in case of Obama his books and salary, in case of Cameron his inheritance. Why it is important? because from the days of Aristotle, from the very origins of Greek democratic thought, the basic principle of political science is that  top leaders and executives of a nation should not be its businessmen or traders, for the simple reason that they will represent a, “Conflict of Interest” so big, so enormous, so humungous, so multi-dimensional, so uncontrollable that nothing in terms of checks will constrain them and nation’s best interests will be compromised at the altar of private profiteering and empowerment. So wherever businessmen are in politics, contradicting the ancient Greek philosophy- as in America – their scrutiny assumes a relentless merciless ‘witch-hunt’. Many not much familiar with the thrust of American political system have wondered: “why no significant American names in Panama leaks?”. Answer is: aspirants of political office in America have to make disclosures at so many steps, are scrutinized and grilled so hard, and so many times during the progress of their multi-ladder career- like the game of snakes and ladders- that thinking of the pleasures of ‘anonymous existence in a Panama File’ is simply not available to them. That is why the twice elected American President, in a $16 trillion economy is worth only $8-9 million.

Unfortunately the conflict of interest is written large, literally inscribed, etched onto the stony, rugged, bruised face of Pakistani politics. It is part of its soul – if one is left. And those who support the ‘Sharif family’ despite full understanding of the nature of allegations and the obvious questions that arose, materialized, resurfaced after the Panama leaks have a logic: Why only Sharifs? Who in the ‘political hamam’ of the post-1985 Pakistan holds the towel? This is a question to which there is no answer. And this is what that has been repeated by PMNL leaders, supporters in media and ‘social media teams’ when they shouted, cried hoarse and pointed fingers towards literally everyone who matters in Pakistani power-politics.

And then there are those who see, who hear, who who smell army, military establishment, martial law lurking behind every movement of earth, behind every change of season, behind every bird that chirps and every child that smiles. Specter of troops jumping over the Ptv fence may not become a reality again, but paranoid fears of columns marching, issues of military dominated polity and so on lurk in many minds. So while ‘Panama Files’ was an international development, something that rocked the ‘western consciousness’ and injected itself into the Pakistani body politics, like an antigen from outside and like an ‘antigen’ it has over the past three weeks manifested itself into a quintessential Pakistani ‘reaction’. So Panama Files has metamorphosed itself into: CIA conspiracy against China Pakistan Economic Corridor, Plan to destroy Pakistani Economy, and Civil Military Divide. These were the messages which PM Nawaz effectively carried in his speech on 22nd; he hardly talked about ‘Panama leaks’, or the questions of ‘Conflict of Interest’; he instead talked of those who removed him from power, who brought 17th Amendment and in an ‘Oscar winning performance’ he talked of those who forcibly exiled him to Saudi Arabia. While we may endlessly ridicule him through the lens of ‘western or middle class logic’; he knew perfectly well that he was talking to his audience across the villages of Punjab, and planting his ideas into their minds. Through his ‘double, triple speak’ he attempted to conflate, international conspiracies by CIA, military adventurism by his Generals and Imran Khan’s grab for power and his associations with the dictators. Under the circumstances, it was a good well written, well rehearsed, tele-prompted speech – short on substance but strong on political rhetoric.

Coming back to legend of political corruption. Yes! One can argue that Imran Khan of PTI has no such record, he is different but then perhaps because of this ‘difference’ he is alone and will remain isolated in the arena. And ‘one man’ however popular he may  be, provides no solution, no panacea, to a system that is all interconnected, inter-dependent. For instance with JP Pasha and Rehman Malik in Panama Files, what do we expect Zardari and PPP to do? And there are questions, serious questions about Imran’s overall ability to understand and push Pakistani politics. These limitations have once again been exposed in the ‘Pakistan’s Panama Crisis’.

When Nawaz Sharif first offered to set up a commission under a retired justice on 5th April, he knew of the political implications of Panama Files for the past several weeks. ICIJ had been sending questionaries, Pakistani journalists were shared details and all that. After all, his son, Hussain Nawaz, appeared purposefully, in a tv program, on 7th March, to spill the beans, to offer a plausible defense, to disclose that offshore accounts and the Avon field properties were held since 2006. This was a defense, Sharif family, had been thinking, contemplating in advance over the years. They understood the changing international climate post 9/11. The only mistake they did, a real time blunder, was to put ‘Maryam Nawaz’s name’ on these Offshore accounts in 2006. My sources in PMLN reveal that this happened because Hussain has two wives and they wanted to secure financil hold as families do. Otherwise Maryam Nawaz had nothing to do with these properties or accounts. But it was a blunder from Nawaz, because amongst his children the only one with a political future is Maryam. She is like Benazir for ZA Bhutto. Like Bhutto, in 1970’s, Nawaz has groomed Maryam to be the heir apparent. And if the Pakistani politics continues on its present track, the only one amongst the second generation of ‘dynastic politics’ with a credible promise and appeal is Maryam. So Nawaz, at some level, must have regretted this blunder and will do everything to undo this. But as of now, children are defending him, and he has set up a Commission apparently to exonerate them.

Nawaz may not be a ‘Professor Barack Obama’ worried about global problems or environmental issues, but within Pakistan he has been a ‘third time Prime Minister’; this is not ‘someone’s gift’ on platter, he instinctively understands his turf, Pakistan’s body politic, and he understands its key players and he knew who will have the audacity to challenge him and what will be his adversary’s game plan or demands. So when he first made his ‘televised address to the nation’ on 5th April, when Panama Files officially hit the fan, he had done his homework, he had time to think and he had his plan ready. As expected, when he offered ‘Commission under a retired Judge’ others reacted, lead by the ‘audacious’ Mr. Imran Khan who, falling into the trap, demanded a ‘Commission under Chief Justice’. How will a Commission under a ‘Chief Justice’ necessarily make the difference is beyond me. Most lawyers, financial experts and accountants I have talked to, fail to see how a ‘Commission’ any commission would have resolved this.

Now since Imran Khan has got his ‘Commission’ and PPP as expected is forcing him to accept that, and he has limited options to wriggle out of this ‘100 Year Commission’ like the ‘One Hundred Years of Solitude’ by Garcia, which all have loved but few have finished reading or understood; it remains to be seen that what Mr. Khan will do. Will he reject that? Most sane option would have been to reject this ‘Commission’ but now Mr. Khan may not have been left with the political capital to outrightly reject this Commission. So he will propose changes and amendments. But will he will be able to get a structure, a configuration of the Commission that can force Nawaz Sharif and JP Pasha – Mr. Zardari’s alleged front man – named in the Panama Files to deposit details of their assets?. Probably not. Without restricting the Commission to ‘politicians’ named in Panama Files and without obtaining full disclosure from all those ‘politicians’ any Commission would only be wasting public money and time. Lets see what Mr. Khan now comes up with. After all  its 20th Yom-e-Tasees of his political baby, PTI. Journey of Political maturity.

Panama Papers: Why ‘Commission’ should be rejected?

Moeed Pirzada |

Panama Cat is out of the bag! PM Nawaz gave his ‘Commission of Enquiry’ that will or can investigate everyone ‘rich’ in Pakistan except himself. This is called a ‘potential sixer’. Will this be caught at the boundary or will cross over into the pavilion will depend upon how his opposition and media reacts.

Whatever happened in Pakistan since the appearance of ‘Panama Paper’s is less about the ‘Panama Papers’ and more about the nature of Pakistani politics and its fault lines, Pakistani society, its power dynamics and the levels of ignorance and illiteracy in which several communities of Pakistanis live or suffer. For any student of international politics and sociology the ‘mad house’ which Pakistani politics has thrown up in the last three weeks should be a ‘fertile petri-dish’ to study the politics of a people; in this case: Pakistanis.

With PM Nawaz Sharif’s speech, on 22nd April, his third address to the nation, since 5th April, the whole issue of ‘Panama Files’ has become so murky, so different, so ‘Pakistanized’ – like Harry Potter turned into Maula Jut – that its important to first define what the original issue was and what questions it raised.

And then there are those who see, who hear, who smell army, military establishment, martial law lurking behind every movement of earth, behind every change of season, behind every bird that chirps and every child that smiles.

Panama Files and its disclosures – at-least in the context of Pakistan – was never really about Off-shore accounts. Businessmen, companies, banks, corporations and even ordinary citizens world over have always maintained ‘Offshore’ accounts for various reasons. It is not about taxes either. Businessmen are in the business of making money and have every right of reducing their tax liability and as long as ‘national’ or ‘international laws’ permit them ‘safe heavens’ to do that, they are within their right to do so – as long as they can prove the origin of funds, source of earnings and that taxes were initially paid, if due.

Read more: Imran Khan Rejects Judicial Commission on Panama Corruption Case & Demands a Five Member Supreme Court Bench

The whole talk, endless gibberish, of 200 plus Pakistani businessmen, bankers, corporate leaders, media tycoons or rich people keeping ‘off-shore accounts’ was meaningless. It only testifies to the level of ignorance and maliciousness in Pakistani media and politics that this charge has been repeated again and again – and even ‘ministers’ in responsible positions have talked off the ‘accountability of all’ as if suddenly we have turned against ‘capitalism’ or are about to start a war between ‘good and evil’ a kind of Pakistani sequel of the ‘Lord of Rings’. Perhaps the ‘objective’ was to spread the debate so afar as to make it ‘irrelevant’ and open the net so wide that it cannot capture any one.

Amongst the 200 plus names, that initially surfaced in first week of April, the only names that raise alarm bells are about 14-15 politically exposed persons or persons intimately connected with the top political families – like JP (Javaid Pasha) known to be a London based frontman for Mr. Zardari – and two judges of Lahore High Court. Judges were perhaps even more important, but to this day neither media, nor political parties have really raised this issue. And surprisingly ‘Supreme Court of Pakistan’ or ‘Bar Associations’ have also not demanded an explanation from these two ‘odd names’ in a list, where they should never have been. Their appearance there has raised serious questions and have tarnished the image of whole judiciary – but neither they have felt nor their ‘professional bodies’ have demanded an explanation.

Read more: Will there be any resolution on Panamagate?

Why politically exposed persons, Judges and top civil servants are important? Because those in the positions of leadership or decision  making in a country – be it Prime Minister, Chief Minister or Ministers or those who adjudicate matters of conflict between warring parties like the judges or those who implement policy decisions like the top civil servants – represent a ‘Clear and Present Conflict of Interest’. They take or influence major decisions of economic policy, structural development, tax imposition and concessions, of foreign investments, mega projects like CPEC, motorways, metros, train-lines and privatizations like PIA or Steel Mills etc. Their decisions can make or break the fortunes of businessmen and corporations. And within this endless, intricate and interdependent process of decision making they get countless opportunities of enriching themselves and their families and their cronies and their political supporters. And that is why the rate of accumulation of their assets, their financial transactions, their accounts and their lifestyles need a ‘microscopic  scrutiny’.

The whole talk, endless gibberish, of 200 plus Pakistani businessmen, bankers, corporate leaders, media tycoons or rich people keeping ‘off-shore accounts’ was meaningless. It only testifies to the level of ignorance and maliciousness in Pakistani media and politics that this charge has been repeated again and again

And that is why British PM, David Cameron immediately published all his personal and inherited assets, his accounts, his transactions, rental income he and his wife, Samantha, get. And that is why the American President is transparent to the last dollar. In a $ 16 trillion economy, US President’s accumulated total worth is only around $8-9 million and David Cameron, twice elected British PM is only worth £ 3 million or so. And all that can be accounted for; in case of Obama his books and salary, in case of Cameron his inheritance. Why it is important?because from the days of Aristotle, from the very origins of Greek democratic thought, the basic principle of political science is that  top leaders and executives of a nation should not be its businessmen or traders, for the simple reason that they will represent a, “Conflict of Interest” so big, so enormous, so humungous, so multi-dimensional, so uncontrollable that nothing in terms of checks will constrain them and nation’s best interests will be compromised at the altar of private profiteering and empowerment.

So wherever businessmen are in politics, contradicting the ancient Greek philosophy- as in America – their scrutiny assumes a relentless merciless ‘witch-hunt’. Many not much familiar with the thrust of American political system have wondered: “why no significant American names in Panama leaks?”. Answer is: aspirants of political office in America have to make disclosures at so many steps, are scrutinized and grilled so hard, and so many times during the progress of their multi-ladder career- like the game of snakes and ladders- that thinking of the pleasures of ‘anonymous existence in a Panama File’ is simply not available to them. That is why the twice elected American President, in a $16 trillion economy is worth only $8-9 million.

Unfortunately, the conflict of interest is written large, literally inscribed, etched onto the stony, rugged, bruised face of Pakistani politics. It is part of its soul – if one is left. And those who support the ‘Sharif family’ despite full understanding of the nature of allegations and the obvious questions that arose, materialized, resurfaced after the Panama leaks have a logic: Why only Sharifs? Who in the ‘political hamam’ of the post-1985 Pakistan holds the towel? This is a question to which there is no answer. And this is what that has been repeated by PMNL leaders, supporters in media and ‘social media teams’ when they shouted, cried hoarse and pointed fingers towards literally everyone who matters in Pakistani power-politics.

Read more: Panama Crisis & Government by threats, bluffs and lies!

And then there are those who see, who hear, who smell army, military establishment, martial law lurking behind every movement of earth, behind every change of season, behind every bird that chirps and every child that smiles. Specter of troops jumping over the Ptv fence may not become a reality again, but paranoid fears of columns marching, issues of military-dominated polity and so on lurk in many minds. So while ‘Panama Files’ was an international development, something that rocked the ‘western consciousness’ and injected itself into the Pakistani body politics, like an antigen from outside and like an ‘antigen’ it has over the past three weeks manifested itself into a quintessential Pakistani ‘reaction’. So Panama Files has metamorphosed itself into: CIA conspiracy against China Pakistan Economic Corridor, Plan to destroy Pakistani Economy, and Civil Military Divide. These were the messages which PM Nawaz effectively carried in his speech on 22nd; he hardly talked about ‘Panama leaks’, or the questions of ‘Conflict of Interest’; he instead talked of those who removed him from power, who brought 17th Amendment and in an ‘Oscar winning performance’ he talked of those who forcibly exiled him to Saudi Arabia. While we may endlessly ridicule him through the lens of ‘western or middle class logic’; he knew perfectly well that he was talking to his audience across the villages of Punjab, and planting his ideas into their minds. Through his ‘double, triple speak’ he attempted to conflate, international conspiracies by CIA, military adventurism by his Generals and Imran Khan’s grab for power and his associations with the dictators. Under the circumstances, it was a good well written, well rehearsed, tele-prompted speech – short on substance but strong on political rhetoric.

Coming back to legend of political corruption. Yes! One can argue that Imran Khan of PTI has no such record, he is different but then perhaps because of this ‘difference’ he is alone and will remain isolated in the arena. And ‘one man’ however popular he may  be, provides no solution, no panacea, to a system that is all interconnected, inter-dependent. For instance with JP Pasha and Rehman Malik in Panama Files, what do we expect Zardari and PPP to do? And there are questions, serious questions about Imran’s overall ability to understand and push Pakistani politics. These limitations have once again been exposed in the ‘Pakistan’s Panama Crisis’.

Whatever happened in Pakistan since the appearance of ‘Panama Paper’s is less about the ‘Panama Papers’ and more about the nature of Pakistani politics and its fault lines, Pakistani society, its power dynamics and the levels of ignorance and illiteracy in which several communities of Pakistanis live or suffer.

When Nawaz Sharif first offered to set up a commission under a retired justice on 5th April, he knew of the political implications of Panama Files for the past several weeks. ICIJ had been sending questionaries, Pakistani journalists were shared details and all that. After all, his son, Hussain Nawaz, appeared purposefully, in a tv program, on 7th March, to spill the beans, to offer a plausible defense, to disclose that offshore accounts and the Avon field properties were held since 2006. This was a defense, Sharif family, had been thinking, contemplating in advance over the years. They understood the changing international climate post 9/11. The only mistake they did, a real time blunder, was to put ‘Maryam Nawaz’s name’ on these Offshore accounts in 2006. My sources in PMLN reveal that this happened because Hussain has two wives and they wanted to secure

The only mistake they did, a real time blunder, was to put ‘Maryam Nawaz’s name’ on these Offshore accounts in 2006. My sources in PMLN reveal that this happened because Hussain has two wives and they wanted to secure financil hold as families do. Otherwise Maryam Nawaz had nothing to do with these properties or accounts. But it was a blunder from Nawaz, because amongst his children the only one with a political future is Maryam. She is like Benazir for ZA Bhutto. Like Bhutto, in 1970’s, Nawaz has groomed Maryam to be the heir apparent. And if the Pakistani politics continues on its present track, the only one amongst the second generation of ‘dynastic politics’ with a credible promise and appeal is Maryam. So Nawaz, at some level, must have regretted this blunder and will do everything to undo this. But as of now, children are defending him, and he has set up a Commission apparently to exonerate them.

Nawaz may not be a ‘Professor Barack Obama’ worried about global problems or environmental issues, but within Pakistan he has been a ‘third time Prime Minister’; this is not ‘someone’s gift’ on platter, he instinctively understands his turf, Pakistan’s body politic, and he understands its key players and he knew who will have the audacity to challenge him and what will be his adversary’s game plan or demands. So when he first made his ‘televised address to the nation’ on 5th April, when Panama Files officially hit the fan, he had done his homework, he had time to think and he had his plan ready. As expected, when he offered ‘Commission under a retired Judge’ others reacted, lead by the ‘audacious’ Mr. Imran Khan who, falling into the trap, demanded a ‘Commission under Chief Justice’. How will a Commission under a ‘Chief Justice’ necessarily make the difference is beyond me. Most lawyers, financial experts and accountants I have talked to, fail to see how a ‘Commission’ any commission would have resolved this.

Read more: We Should trust Supreme Court to give us justice!

Now since Imran Khan has got his ‘Commission’ and PPP as expected is forcing him to accept that, and he has limited options to wriggle out of this ‘100 Year Commission’ like the ‘One Hundred Years of Solitude’ by Garcia, which all have loved but few have finished reading or understood; it remains to be seen that what Mr. Khan will do. Will he reject that? Most sane option would have been to reject this ‘Commission’ but now Mr. Khan may not have been left with the political capital to outrightly reject this Commission. So he will propose changes and amendments. But will he will be able to get a structure, a configuration of the Commission that can force Nawaz Sharif and JP Pasha – Mr. Zardari’s alleged front man – named in the Panama Files to deposit details of their assets?. Probably not. Without restricting the Commission to ‘politicians’ named in Panama Files and without obtaining full disclosure from all those ‘politicians’ any Commission would only be wasting public money and time. Lets see what Mr. Khan now comes up with. After all  its 20th Yom-e-Tasees of his political baby, PTI. Journey of Political maturity.

 

Moeed Pirzada is prominent TV Anchor & commentator; he studied international relations at Columbia Univ, New York and law at London School of Economics. Twitter: MoeedNj. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Global Village Space’s editorial policy. This piece was first published in Moeed Pirzada’s official page. It has been reproduced with permission.

America’s poor President & Pakistan’s Rich Rent Seekers!

Recently White House issued US President Barack Obama’s income and tax records. These were really interesting. American President in 2015 had a gross income of US $ 435,000/- out of which $395,000 was his  official salary as President and the rest was his declining royalty from his two books. On this gross income of $435k, Obama and Michelle paid an income tax of $81,000/- leaving them with net $354,000/- for the whole year. In Pakistani terms (taking a rough equivalence of Rs. 100/$) this comes to around Rs. 3 crore and 5o lakhs over a year. Not bad, but keep reading. And while you read, keep in mind, that Obama has been the twice elected President of a $16-17 trillion economy; and given the ‘matters of transparency’ and the atmosphere of ‘American politics’ you off course don’t expect him Obama and Michelle to be missing anything from this statement.

American president’s income was around $750,000 in 2011 records. It has been steadily declining, as royalties from his two books – Dreams from my Father & Audacity of Hope – peaked in 2009 and 2010 and then started declining. He has grossed a few million dollars in total from these two books, and will make a few million dollars more from his books, memoirs that will appear, hopefully, after 2017 and off course the lucrative lecture circuit.

Now lets come back to our beloved Pakistan. Islamic Republic of Pakistan. The Land of the Pure. Pakeeza. We are nominally, in black and white, around $300 billion economy; so less than 1/50th (One fiftieth) of the gigantic American economy. But don’t get worried, I am not going to  make any comparisons with Asif Ali Zardari and Nawaz Sharif. I am not that stupid. Off course these are rich people. You don’t compare these kind of genuinely rich people with an ‘upstart’ kind of person like Obama. A mere professor, a struggling idealist author who got a jackpot and became the American President.

But what worries me is that from Khyber to Karachi, there will be at least hundreds of, if not more, officers of Police, FIA, IB, ISI, FC, District Management, Customs, Income Tax, Revenue, Railways, Oil & Gas, lower judiciary, Public Works, Education, Agriculture, Development authorities like LDA etc and so on who make more than Rs. 4-5 crore a year. And these are not necessarily the top  bosses either. Many of them will be in their grade 18-20, that kind of seniority level. Officially their incomes will be around Rs. 1-2 million a year, but their real take home will be more than Rs. 40-50 million, i.e. 4-5 Crore each year. In many instances, much more than that. Definitely much more than the net income of American president.

Anyone, who is in Pakistan – those who are in government departments, in media, in politics – will know that I am not exaggerating; I am only giving a fair estimate – without naming anyone, with out prejudice to any one. Only making a systemic judgment. Most newspaper comments keep on pointing towards this. So what does it really mean? What does it mean for the state of Pakistan, for democracy and elections and rule of law?

Not every government position is that lucrative. In fact, most are not. But few slots in every department have that kind of ‘unofficial income’. These are usually the hotly pursued, hotly contested, sought after positions. Officers who get these are being rewarded by their political or bureaucratic bosses. Sometimes, those who get these positions, may have to put up an advanced deposit (that was heard more often in PPP days under Zardari Sahib) but in most situations, they, the officers in lucrative positions, are supposed to serve their mentors and superiors. And that can take different forms.

Since most positions in the government, are not lucrative and lucrative positions are not achieved on merit, but on the basis of loyalty. So all these officers on ‘lucrative positions’ are perpetually insecure, perpetually afraid, always on tenter hooks, they can loose their privilege anytime. Whenever these ‘timid souls’ earn the wrath of their mentors, they will loose such positions – and can suffer from rainy days; such rainy days for them, their wives,their children, their relatives can last from few moths to several years.

But none of that should or would have surprised you. Most of you – barring very young, and those who were born abroad, or live in North America from very young age – are already aware of this situation. This is a ‘Panama File’ that is present in every city, town and district of Pakistan. This is the real ‘Pajama Scandal’ of Pakistan. Because all these characters  – our friends, relatives, cousins, lovers, husbands – are known to us. We just don’t want to talk about it. There is no use talking of it. I have never named anyone in my programs, comments, blogs or tweets. Never. Like the ‘Panama Files’ which we will forget, with next bomb explosion, next Indo-Pakistan tensions, next cricket match, next US warning, this corruption is something we have forgotten. We know of it, we detest it, we condemn it – if we are not benefitting from it – some journalists threaten and blackmail such officers and  extract ‘good money’ by threatening to expose these people. Research on corruption is often done, and never published, in Pakistan with this goal in mind: Blackmail the corrupt. Departments like FIA, Anti-Corruption etc which have the power to investigate corruption are generally perceived to be the most corrupt. But by and large, we live with it. We have accepted it; this is our way of live, this is our culture.

So why even talk about it? about the hundreds of Pakistani officials who make more than the US President each year. What is the point? I am not against them; if anything I sympathize with all such characters, for they have lost what I value the most: self-respect.

Let me come to the point. This sea of corruption, or in more professional terms: system of corruption, provides an ‘architecture of control’ within Pakistan. This is both formal and informal, visible and invisible. Lucrative positions are all known, known to all who have to distribute them. Since progress in public sector – despite whatever anyone tells you – is not on merit. So distribution of ‘lucrative positions’ and ‘good powerful jobs’ to your insecure, afraid loyalists means consolidating your ‘system of control’ on their lives, on their minds, on the shopping budgets of their wives, travel accounts of their families, school education of their children, cars they drive, watches they wear and the phones they use and thus on the whole mechanism of governance. A model of governance through ‘fear and insecurity’

We talk of the advertisement budgets, of bank loans and so on, but this architecture of control is seldom talked off. This architecture of control becomes singularly important during the elections. All kinds of elections: National, Provincial, Local Bodies and so on. Any one – politician, NGO, writer, analyst, philosopher or foreign governemnt – any starry idealist, who wants to reform the system of elections, of democracy, anyone who believes in ‘one man one vote’ has to first reflect on this ‘architecture of control’ because as long as this ‘architecture of control’ is available to governments and key individuals, elections are mere cosmetic exercise. “Khattapuri”

Change of governments, the real change of power, as it happened in 2008, will take place through mechanisms and agreements – like the Lawyers Movement, a mysterious CJ, a NRO decided in London and the US – outside the control of the people of Pakistan and their elections. Elections will continue to be held for reasons of legitimizing, affixing the stamp of international approval, on that ‘continuation of power’ (as happened in 2002 & 2013) or legitimizing ‘transfer of power’ (as in 2008). Elections will continue to be like the ‘college degrees’ which you get, without studying, without deserving, with a book in toilette or under the table with an equation with the invigilator. As long as the ‘Architecture of Control’ through ‘afraid insecure lives’ continues, the nature of elections will not change either. Hope this helps understand the ‘nature of democracy’ in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan where with the grace of God, junior functionaries of the state earn more than the American President. Who says: Miracles don’t happen these days. Is not this a ‘miracle’? Lord be praised! Amen!

America’s poor president & Pakistan’s rich rent seekers!

Moeed Pirzada |

Recently White House issued US President Barack Obama’s income and tax records. These were really interesting. American President in 2015 had a gross income of US $ 435,000/- out of which $395,000 was his  official salary as President and the rest was his declining royalty from his two books. On this gross income of $435k, Obama and Michelle paid an income tax of $81,000/- leaving them with net $354,000/- for the whole year. In Pakistani terms (taking a rough equivalence of Rs. 100/$) this comes to around Rs. 3 crore and 5o lakhs over a year. Not bad, but keep reading. And while you read, keep in mind, that Obama has been the twice elected President of a $16-17 trillion economy; and given the ‘matters of transparency’ and the atmosphere of ‘American politics’ you off course don’t expect him Obama and Michelle to be missing anything from this statement.

American president’s income was around $750,000 in 2011 records. It has been steadily declining, as royalties from his two books – Dreams from my Father & Audacity of Hope – peaked in 2009 and 2010 and then started declining. He has grossed a few million dollars in total from these two books, and will make a few million dollars more from his books, memoirs that will appear, hopefully, after 2017 and off course the lucrative lecture circuit.

Read more: Barak Obama: the real “killer”

few slots in every department have that kind of ‘unofficial income’. These are usually the hotly pursued, hotly contested, sought after positions. Officers who get these are being rewarded by their political or bureaucratic bosses.

Now lets come back to our beloved Pakistan. Islamic Republic of Pakistan. The Land of the Pure. Pakeeza. We are nominally, in black and white, around $300 billion economy; so less than 1/50th (One fiftieth) of the gigantic American economy. But don’t get worried, I am not going to  make any comparisons with Asif Ali Zardari and Nawaz Sharif. I am not that stupid. Off course these are rich people. You don’t compare these kind of genuinely rich people with an ‘upstart’ kind of person like Obama. A mere professor, a struggling idealist author who got a jackpot and became the American President.

But what worries me is that from Khyber to Karachi, there will be at least hundreds of, if not more, officers of Police, FIA, IB, ISI, FC, District Management, Customs, Income Tax, Revenue, Railways, Oil & Gas, lower judiciary, Public Works, Education, Agriculture, Development authorities like LDA etc and so on who make more than Rs. 4-5 crore a year. And these are not necessarily the top  bosses either. Many of them will be in their grade 18-20, that kind of seniority level. Officially their incomes will be around Rs. 1-2 million a year, but their real take home will be more than Rs. 40-50 million, i.e. 4-5 Crore each year. In many instances, much more than that. Definitely much more than the net income of American president.

Read more: Obama’s dirty secret: the fossil fuel projects the US littered around the world

Anyone, who is in Pakistan – those who are in government departments, in media, in politics – will know that I am not exaggerating; I am only giving a fair estimate – without naming anyone, with out prejudice to any one. Only making a systemic judgment. Most newspaper comments keep on pointing towards this. So what does it really mean? What does it mean for the state of Pakistan, for democracy and elections and rule of law?

Not every government position is that lucrative. In fact, most are not. But few slots in every department have that kind of ‘unofficial income’. These are usually the hotly pursued, hotly contested, sought after positions. Officers who get these are being rewarded by their political or bureaucratic bosses. Sometimes, those who get these positions, may have to put up an advanced deposit (that was heard more often in PPP days under Zardari Sahib) but in most situations, they, the officers in lucrative positions, are supposed to serve their mentors and superiors. And that can take different forms.

Since most positions in the government, are not lucrative and lucrative positions are not achieved on merit, but on the basis of loyalty. So all these officers on ‘lucrative positions’ are perpetually insecure, perpetually afraid, always on tenter hooks, they can loose their privilege anytime. Whenever these ‘timid souls’ earn the wrath of their mentors, they will loose such positions – and can suffer from rainy days; such rainy days for them, their wives,their children, their relatives can last from few moths to several years.

there will be at least hundreds of, if not more, officers of Police, FIA, IB, ISI, FC, District Management, Customs, Income Tax, Revenue, Railways, Oil & Gas, lower judiciary, Public Works, Education, Agriculture, Development authorities like LDA etc and so on who make more than Rs. 4-5 crore a year.

But none of that should or would have surprised you. Most of you – barring very young, and those who were born abroad, or live in North America from very young age – are already aware of this situation. This is a ‘Panama File’ that is present in every city, town and district of Pakistan. This is the real ‘Pajama Scandal’ of Pakistan. Because all these characters  – our friends, relatives, cousins, lovers, husbands – are known to us. We just don’t want to talk about it. There is no use talking of it. I have never named anyone in my programs, comments, blogs or tweets.

Never. Like the ‘Panama Files’ which we will forget, with next bomb explosion, next Indo-Pakistan tensions, next cricket match, next US warning, this corruption is something we have forgotten. We know of it, we detest it, we condemn it – if we are not benefitting from it – some journalists threaten and blackmail such officers and  extract ‘good money’ by threatening to expose these people. Research on corruption is often done, and never published, in Pakistan with this goal in mind: Blackmail the corrupt. Departments like FIA, Anti-Corruption etc which have the power to investigate corruption are generally perceived to be the most corrupt. But by and large, we live with it. We have accepted it; this is our way of live, this is our culture.

So why even talk about it? about the hundreds of Pakistani officials who make more than the US President each year. What is the point? I am not against them; if anything I sympathize with all such characters, for they have lost what I value the most: self-respect.

Let me come to the point. This sea of corruption, or in more professional terms: system of corruption, provides an ‘architecture of control’ within Pakistan. This is both formal and informal, visible and invisible. Lucrative positions are all known, known to all who have to distribute them. Since progress in public sector – despite whatever anyone tells you – is not on merit. So distribution of ‘lucrative positions’ and ‘good powerful jobs’ to your insecure, afraid loyalists means consolidating your ‘system of control’ on their lives, on their minds, on the shopping budgets of their wives, travel accounts of their families, school education of their children, cars they drive, watches they wear and the phones they use and thus on the whole mechanism of governance. A model of governance through ‘fear and insecurity’.

Read more: Read the parting letter by President Barack Obama to Americans

We talk of the advertisement budgets, of bank loans and so on, but this architecture of control is seldom talked off. This architecture of control becomes singularly important during the elections. All kinds of elections: National, Provincial, Local Bodies and so on. Any one – politician, NGO, writer, analyst, philosopher or foreign governemnt – any starry idealist, who wants to reform the system of elections, of democracy, anyone who believes in ‘one man one vote’ has to first reflect on this ‘architecture of control’ because as long as this ‘architecture of control’ is available to governments and key individuals, elections are mere cosmetic exercise. “Khattapuri”

Change of governments, the real change of power, as it happened in 2008, will take place through mechanisms and agreements – like the Lawyers Movement, a mysterious CJ, a NRO decided in London and the US – outside the control of the people of Pakistan and their elections. Elections will continue to be held for reasons of legitimizing, affixing the stamp of international approval, on that ‘continuation of power’ (as happened in 2002 & 2013) or legitimizing ‘transfer of power’ (as in 2008). Elections will continue to be like the ‘college degrees’ which you get, without studying, without deserving, with a book in toilette or under the table with an equation with the invigilator. As long as the ‘Architecture of Control’ through ‘afraid insecure lives’ continues, the nature of elections will not change either. Hope this helps understand the ‘nature of democracy’ in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan where with the grace of God, junior functionaries of the state earn more than the American President. Who says: Miracles don’t happen these days. Is not this a ‘miracle’? Lord be praised! Amen!

 

Moeed Pirzada is prominent TV Anchor & commentator; he studied international relations at Columbia Univ, New York and law at London School of Economics. Twitter: MoeedNj. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Global Village Space’s editorial policy. This piece was first published in Moeed Pirzada’s official page. It has been reproduced with permission.

Panama Files: Pakistani Conspiracy Theories?

Note: This article circulating anonymously on the net, through social media sites and Apps; this is off course coming from somewhere, some quarters; main purpose appears to lessen the impact of ‘mega corruption’ and to present ‘Panama Files’ as an American/CIA Conspiracy. 

For the past 14 days, I have been thinking about the Panama Papers from every angle. Every conceivable foresight as to what was the reason behind this leak. One thing you must understand that such things do not happen without a specific purpose in the light of geo political situations. Secondly, such a massive operation of disclosure has to be funded at the highest level. George Soros’ name is appearing in all Wall Street circles, whoever I speak to. George Soros is known for toppling governments, funding secret anti-government operations, creating NGO’s in foreign lands and supporting them, all through his “Open Society” organizational platform. George Soros, no matter how much I admire his talent in capital markets, I have to admit that he has an absolute hidden agenda to promote Israel’s Zionist intentions in collaboration with not so obscure relationship with the CIA. It’s a known fact in the inner circles of Wall Street. Now the second question which gives itself a birth is just comprised of one word: Why ?

Why would one in connivance with intelligence agencies or openly, expose such powerful people of the world. There has to be a solid reason because the repercussion of this act is far reaching and long lasting. No conspiracy theories please. Just rational thinking needs to be applied.

Lets talk figures. America has a debt of $19 Trillion dollars. Eurozone debt has increased from $11.4 Trillion dollars just in 2013 to $16 Trillion dollars now. With China’s dominance increasing and Russia plus Iran coming into the international arena and promoting trade in non dollar based transactions, America’s past strength of raising money through the dollar based debt market to run its national financial affairs is considerably diminishing at a very fast pace. European Central Bank (ECB) is also failing to control the situation in EU repeatedly for over 7 years now. Liquidity crunch is increasing. And if oil trading countries start to do their transactions in currencies other than dollar, the surplus Petro-Dollar will be parked in non dollar based currencies as well. That is an absolute disaster for America. It will be the death of the American Dollar. And in addition, the world’s dependency on oil decreasing with substitute energy alternatives, Petro Dollar will see its eventual demise within the next two decades. But there is a solution, and that solution is the illegally, ill gotten stash of around $105 Trillion dollars in such accounts around the world.

Now this Will Be The Real Game Changer:

The release of the first batch of documents is just the beginning of the chain of events. Other law firms will not have to release the documents but will be forced to release them based on new upcoming legislations throughout the world, starting with America. U.S. Congress will soon, in my view, pass a legislation forcing such law firms to disclose the information or the countries hosting such law firms will have to face the famous threat of American sanctions. European nations will follow suit and pass similar laws. Once the laws are passed, within the next few years, Tax Authorities, in the west will start the investigations and freeze such accounts. America will have jurisdiction over 80% of such investigations because the reported transfer of funds in the past 50 years or so were done in dollar based amounts and as long as those transactions were done in U.S. Dollars, America has the authority to investigate and freeze such amounts.

So I come to my final conclusion, which leads me to believe that, without disturbing the world financial markets, without raising new funds and drying up liquidity around the world, without being blamed for creating another World Financial Crisis around the world, without going into a financial war with Russia and other countries forcing them to keep their oil based transaction in U.S. Dollars, The United States and all The European financially strapped nations will have access to over $100 Trillion dollars of looted funds that they can seize and make it their property. This will solve all their financial problems for decades to come. Even if they are able to seize 30% of such funds around the world, it will be more than what they can raise from the financial markets around the world in the next 30 years without breaking the back of the financial system.

So tighten your seat belts and get ready to witness the most interesting way of looting the looters without any repercussions. Welcome to the new world of Geo-Economic Political Terrorism against the Financially Corrupt Elite of the world.

[Note: This is one of the several ‘Pakistani Conspiracy Theories’ circulating on net, through social media websites and Apps; basic idea is to dilute the discussion of corruption and nepotism across the developing world, and to plant the idea that ‘Panama Files’ is itself a conspiracy by the west, by CIA, in American or European interests. In all these conspiracy theories there is no mention of the fact that political leaders in countries like China, Russia, Central and South America and Pakistan are guilty of looting their countries and economies and this needs to stop – I will write a separate blog on the fault lines of Pakistani politics exposed by Panama Files & why all inter-connected, inter-dependent elite desperately need to set up a ‘Toothless Useless Commission’; What is at stake? 

Face to Face Exclusive talk of Moulana Abdul Aziz

Exclusive Talk: Moulana Abdul Aziz with Dr. Moeed Pirzada. In this interview Dr. Pirzada puts some interesting questions in front of Moulana Abdul Aziz and argued for the importance of dialogue to reach an effective conclusion rather than spreading a message of violence and terror. Moulana Abdul Aziz denied this rhetoric where he was being blamed for sabotaging the peace talks between the Government and the Taliban. Whereas he also denied this version that he intends to implement “Shariah Law” through force and violence. He is of the view that everything can be achieved through proper dialogue, being the citizen of Pakistan he has full right to express his point of view. He said Pakistan’s current Law and the constitution is not made on the guidelines and teachings of Islamic Shariah. Dr Pirzada also discussed Moulana Abdul Aziz’s struggle after the Lal Masjid incident and his religious background when in 1966 at the age of 6 he came to Islamabad. While commenting on the Lal Masjid episode, Moulana bluntly said he was ready to forgive General Musharaf for what he did to his family and students of Jammea e Hafza.

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: Saudi threat to the United States !!!

Dr.Moeed Pirzada analyzed the Saudi threat to the United States of America to extract their assets from the US, in case the US fails to refrain from passing the 9/11 bill. The Saudi officials stated that the KSA does not have anything to do with the tragic incident and if any person or organisation is implicated in the matter, the KSA will be forced to eradicate all possible business ties with the US.

The anchor threw light upon the Panama chain of events, from its origin till the present times. There have been the following developments:

1) the refusal of Chairman senate Raza Rabbani to head the investigative committee.

2) The rejection of Justice(r) Usmani’s name for the probe by the opposition

3) the resignation of Justice(r) Usmani’s wife Sharmeen Usmani from the PML (N) women wing presidency.

The other matter broken down to an elaborate analysis was the very childish move of the ruling party, of sending their workers outside the house of PTI chief Imran Khan’s ex-wife Jemima Goldsmith, to protest Imran Khan’s continual bashing of the PML(N) fore runner, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. This move has been justified as a retaliation to the PTI threat of assembling a protestant hoard outside Raiwind, the family home of the Sharif Brothers. The move was condemned and labeled as unprofessional and spiteful amongst political circles.

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: PPP strategy on Panama Leaks Issue !!!

PPP strategy on Panama Leaks Issue..
Dr Moeed Pirzada talks to opposition leader in Senate Ch Aitzaz Ahsan on PPP strategy to act as Government’s opposition on issue of Panama Leaks.
Aitazaz Ahsan strongly suggests that Nawaz Sharif should give his clarification on how tge properties were bought in London, was the money transferred from Pakistan. If yes then what banking channel was used etc. Aitazaz ahsan also pointed out that Establishment is also keeping soft corner for government. He said that during ppp era on Memo Scandle Nawaz Sharif went to supreme court and commission on Memogate was created within  fifteen minutes.
Aitazaz Ahsan didnt tell about their future stategy in case Prime Minister and his family comes out clear from Panama Scandle.

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: Rauf Kalasra On Panama Leaks !!!

In this segment Dr. Pirzada with his guest Mr. Rauf Kalasra, renowned analyst, discussed the updated situation on Panama Papers and positions of political parties on it. Mr Kalasra said that PM Nawaz Sharif has played his cards very intelligently by announcing Judicial Commission. Its formation has already gone late due to the dispute among opposition and government on its TORs. It was also pointed out that such commissions have always bailed out Nawaz Sharif previously.

Mr. Kalasra also said that the impression is being given by the government that media trail has started against Sharif family, whereas whole Sharif family themselves have given their interviews to various media channels or newspapers regarding same matter. And surprisingly they all have difference in their point of views.

Dr. Pirzada asked that what could be the best solution for this government. Mr. Kalasra suggested Mr. Shoaib Suddel or Mr. Tariq Khosa could be the best choice for Investigative Commission on Panama. Nawaz Sharif chould have gain more respect if he had resigned on moral bases. He also said that it seems difficult for Nawaz’s family to be in power again in future.

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: Panama Papers & Moral Values !!!

Mr.Fawad Chaudhry,  noted analyst, anchor and making rounds as a Panama Leaks Specialist, joined Dr.Moeed Pirzada in the studio for a special break down analysis on the whole affair.
Mr.Chaudhry, commenting on the stance of JUI said that the KPK wing of JUI stands with Imran Khan, but the lahore wing of JUI doesn’t want to lose PML (n) Support, as it is vital for them in these constituencies. Similarly, Peoples Party in Punjab stands with Imran Khan on his stance, asking for an extensive probe, which their Sindh faction does not seem to be much enthusiastic about. There is an intra party and inter party disparity that can be observed throughout the Pakistani political spectrum
Mr. Chaudhry commented that these disparities are the depiction of the dysfunctionality of the Democratic wheels.
The anchor also shed light on the unprofessional attitudes of the establishment, the accused and the multiple nooks and crannies of this fiasco that does not seem to be coming to a logical and fair end, anytime soon.

Tonight With Moeed Pirzada: Chotu Gang & Failed Good Governance !!!

Dr. Moeed Pirzada raised his concerns with the Mr. Arslan Rafeeq Bhatti, Bureau Chief Dunya TV, Lahore over the police operation against the Chotu gang in Kacha-Rajanpur, which has been unsuccessful yet. Causalities of polices officers have raised a lot of questions on the planning of Punjab Police. It was also pointed out by Mr. Arslan Rafeeq that the Chotu gang had been working under the supervision of some influential political elites of the area. This could be the reason that they became so strong and are resisting the forces. At the moment, Pak Army have taken the charge of the operation and named it as Operation Zarb-e-Ahan.